The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals

Game will take place Sunday, January 3, 2016

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SEA PlaysARI Plays SEA WsARI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.36
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.910
Average Behind and Awful 0.410.88
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.880
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.450
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.63
Average Below Avg 2.65.79
Above Avg Below Avg 0.760.81
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.88
Average Above Avg 0.540.96
Badly Above Avg 00.54
Average Well 0.390.73
Badly Well 01.88
11.9916.5

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SEA PlaysARI Plays SEA WsARI Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.173.38
Group 0 Group 5 1.472.51
Group 5 Group 4 0.110
Group 3 Group 4 3.240
Group 4 Group 3 00.71
Group 2 Group 2 00.01
Group 4 Group 2 00.23
Group 2 Group 1 0.350.51
Group 1 Group 1 00.94
Group 0 Group 0 0.990.16
7.368.48

Head-to-Head History of SEA @ ARI

Day Outcome SEA Played ARI Played
Sunday, December 21, 2014 29 pt W SEA Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Thursday, October 17, 2013 12 pt W SEA Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, September 9, 2012 4 pt W ARI Average Below Avg
Sunday, January 1, 2012 3 pt W ARI Average Above Avg
Sunday, November 14, 2010 18 pt W SEA Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 15, 2009 11 pt W ARI Average Below Avg