The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Game will take place Sunday, January 3, 2016

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PHI PlaysNYG Plays PHI WsNYG Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.12
Badly Ahead and Well 01.02
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.10
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.240
Average Below Avg 5.033.73
Above Avg Below Avg 1.10.53
Average Well 00.27
Badly Well 02.68
Behind but Well Well 0.840.4
13.3211.77

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PHI PlaysNYG Plays PHI WsNYG Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.120
Group 2 Group 5 2.570.94
Group 1 Group 5 00.11
Group 0 Group 5 0.710
Group 3 Group 4 1.950.52
Group 5 Group 4 0.420
Group 4 Group 3 02.17
Group 2 Group 1 0.020.79
Group 1 Group 1 01.23
Group 0 Group 0 20.67
7.816.47

Head-to-Head History of PHI @ NYG

Day Outcome PHI Played NYG Played
Sunday, December 28, 2014 8 pt W PHI Average Below Avg
Sunday, October 6, 2013 15 pt W PHI Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 30, 2012 35 pt W NYG Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, November 20, 2011 7 pt W PHI Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 19, 2010 7 pt W PHI Behind but Well Well
Sunday, December 13, 2009 7 pt W PHI Above Avg Behind and Awful