The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New Orleans Saints

Game will take place Sunday, December 27, 2015

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

JAC PlaysNO Plays JAC WsNO Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.37
Badly Ahead and Well 00.95
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.240
Average Behind and Awful 0.40.36
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.940.48
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.990
Average Below Avg 2.322.68
Above Avg Below Avg 00.36
Badly Below Avg 01.32
Behind and Awful Well 01.99
Average Well 00.93
Badly Well 02.29
5.9117.76

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

JAC PlaysNO Plays JAC WsNO Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.20
Group 2 Group 5 1.220.86
Group 0 Group 5 0.230.97
Group 3 Group 4 0.510.1
Group 0 Group 4 00
Group 2 Group 3 00.1
Group 4 Group 3 02.45
Group 4 Group 2 00.52
Group 2 Group 2 01.11
Group 1 Group 2 00.4
Group 2 Group 1 00.5
Group 1 Group 1 01.58
Group 0 Group 0 0.90.17
3.088.81

JAC has not played at NO since 2009