The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles

Game will take place Saturday, December 26, 2015

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

WAS PlaysPHI Plays WAS WsPHI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.76
Badly Ahead and Well 00.72
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.710
Average Behind and Awful 00.4
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.570
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.20
Average Below Avg 2.091.7
Above Avg Below Avg 0.470.31
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.76
Badly Well 02.21
7.0611.88

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

WAS PlaysPHI Plays WAS WsPHI Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.141.06
Group 0 Group 5 1.480
Group 5 Group 4 0.880
Group 3 Group 4 0.620
Group 4 Group 3 03.51
Group 0 Group 2 0.580.58
Group 2 Group 2 0.220.01
Group 5 Group 2 00.48
Group 1 Group 1 01.09
Group 0 Group 0 00.06
3.946.8

Head-to-Head History of WAS @ PHI

Day Outcome WAS Played PHI Played
Sunday, September 21, 2014 3 pt W PHI Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 17, 2013 8 pt W PHI Badly Well
Sunday, December 23, 2012 7 pt W WAS Average Below Avg
Sunday, January 1, 2012 24 pt W PHI Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 3, 2010 5 pt W WAS Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 29, 2009 3 pt W PHI Average Behind and Awful