The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Seattle Seahawks @ Baltimore Ravens

Game will take place Sunday, December 13, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

SEA Money Line

-500
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$120
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
83.33%

BAL Money Line

+435
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$435
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
18.69%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SEA PlaysBAL Plays SEA WsBAL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.95
Badly Ahead and Well 00.4
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.070
Average Behind and Awful 0.490.73
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.830.69
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.58
Average Below Avg 1.973.75
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.67
Average Above Avg 0.680.81
Behind and Awful Well 00.75
Average Well 0.550.71
Badly Well 01.54
8.6215.63

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SEA PlaysBAL Plays SEA WsBAL Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.121.81
Group 1 Group 5 01.1
Group 0 Group 5 0.781.53
Group 3 Group 4 2.780
Group 4 Group 3 01.18
Group 2 Group 2 00.47
Group 1 Group 1 01.24
Group 0 Group 0 2.021.11
6.718.48

SEA has not played at BAL since 2009