The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers

Game will take place Sunday, December 13, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

DAL Money Line

+248
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$248
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
28.73%

GB Money Line

-270
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$137.03
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
72.97%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

DAL PlaysGB Plays DAL WsGB Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.28
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.140
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.78
Average Below Avg 4.33.63
Above Avg Below Avg 1.630.88
Average Above Avg 0.231.18
Badly Well 03.88
8.3214.65

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

DAL PlaysGB Plays DAL WsGB Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.542.38
Group 1 Group 5 00.02
Group 0 Group 5 1.611.4
Group 0 Group 4 0.50
Group 4 Group 3 02.77
Group 2 Group 2 00.47
Group 0 Group 2 0.210.42
Group 1 Group 1 1.891.97
Group 0 Group 0 1.140.22
6.929.67

Head-to-Head History of DAL @ GB

Day Outcome DAL Played GB Played
Sunday, January 11, 2015 5 pt W GB Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 7, 2010 38 pt W GB Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, November 15, 2009 10 pt W GB Average Above Avg