The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Washington Redskins @ Chicago Bears

Game will take place Sunday, December 13, 2015

Our model believes that the Bears are most likely to win this game.

WAS Money Line

+170
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$170
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
37.03%

CHI Money Line

-185
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$154.05
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
64.91%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

WAS PlaysCHI Plays WAS WsCHI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.62
Badly Ahead and Well 01.18
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.740
Average Behind and Awful 00.36
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.770
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.560.2
Average Below Avg 2.453.06
Above Avg Below Avg 0.440.33
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.46
Average Well 01.19
Badly Well 02.34
7.9812.77

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

WAS PlaysCHI Plays WAS WsCHI Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.181.38
Group 0 Group 5 1.740.29
Group 5 Group 4 0.660
Group 3 Group 4 0.840
Group 4 Group 3 02.25
Group 2 Group 2 0.10.45
Group 1 Group 1 01.49
Group 0 Group 0 0.010.39
3.566.29

Head-to-Head History of WAS @ CHI

Day Outcome WAS Played CHI Played
Sunday, October 24, 2010 3 pt W WAS Average Below Avg