The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Tennessee Titans @ New York Jets

Game will take place Sunday, December 13, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

TEN Money Line

+280
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$280
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
26.31%

NYJ Money Line

-310
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$132.25
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
75.6%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

TEN PlaysNYJ Plays TEN WsNYJ Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.62
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.260
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.880
Behind and Awful Below Avg 01.3
Average Below Avg 2.172.82
Above Avg Below Avg 1.230.34
Badly Below Avg 00.42
Average Above Avg 0.210
Behind and Awful Well 00.56
Badly Well 03.06
Behind but Well Well 0.920
8.6913.16

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

TEN PlaysNYJ Plays TEN WsNYJ Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.491.35
Group 1 Group 5 00.02
Group 0 Group 5 1.811.79
Group 0 Group 4 0.210
Group 3 Group 4 1.380
Group 5 Group 4 0.410
Group 4 Group 3 02.48
Group 2 Group 2 01.59
Group 0 Group 2 00.25
Group 1 Group 1 1.131.32
Group 0 Group 0 0.80.12
6.268.97

Head-to-Head History of TEN @ NYJ

Day Outcome TEN Played NYJ Played
Sunday, September 27, 2009 7 pt W NYJ Badly Well