The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Buffalo Bills @ Philadelphia Eagles

Game will take place Sunday, December 13, 2015

Our model believes that the Eagles are most likely to win this game.

BUF Money Line

+103
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$103
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
49.26%

PHI Money Line

-113
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$188.49
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
53.05%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

BUF PlaysPHI Plays BUF WsPHI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.18
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.610
Average Behind and Awful 00.26
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.30
Average Below Avg 2.231.65
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.98
Average Above Avg 0.470.34
Badly Well 03.16
Behind but Well Well 0.480
Average Behind but Well 00.5
Above Avg Behind but Well 00.48
7.1112.59

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

BUF PlaysPHI Plays BUF WsPHI Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.11.48
Group 0 Group 5 0.480
Group 3 Group 4 0.90
Group 0 Group 4 0.470
Group 4 Group 3 02.17
Group 2 Group 2 00.01
Group 5 Group 2 0.240.24
Group 2 Group 1 00.52
Group 1 Group 1 0.321.36
Group 0 Group 0 0.910.03
4.465.86

BUF has not played at PHI since 2009