The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Minnesota Vikings @ Arizona Cardinals

Game will take place Thursday, December 10, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

MIN Money Line

+375
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$375
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
21.05%

ARI Money Line

-420
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$123.8
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
80.76%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

MIN PlaysARI Plays MIN WsARI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02.16
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.110
Average Behind and Awful 0.660.66
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.290
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.72
Average Below Avg 2.847.57
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.85
Average Above Avg 00.98
Badly Above Avg 00.68
Average Well 00.9
Badly Well 02.83
7.9217.4

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

MIN PlaysARI Plays MIN WsARI Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.233.45
Group 0 Group 5 1.312.62
Group 5 Group 4 0.210
Group 3 Group 4 1.360
Group 4 Group 3 01.52
Group 2 Group 2 00.03
Group 2 Group 1 00.44
Group 1 Group 1 01.8
Group 0 Group 0 1.040.3
4.1710.19

Head-to-Head History of MIN @ ARI

Day Outcome MIN Played ARI Played
Sunday, December 6, 2009 13 pt W ARI Behind and Awful Above Avg