The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins

Game will take place Monday, December 7, 2015

Our model believes that the Redskins are most likely to win this game.

DAL Money Line

+175
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$175
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
36.36%

WAS Money Line

-210
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$147.61
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
67.74%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

DAL PlaysWAS Plays DAL WsWAS Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 01.95
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.930
Average Behind and Awful 00
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.230.81
Average Below Avg 4.354.44
Above Avg Below Avg 1.621.86
Behind but Well Below Avg 00
Average Above Avg 0.410.83
Badly Well 00.98
Behind but Well Well 0.60
13.1710.89

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

DAL PlaysWAS Plays DAL WsWAS Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.281.64
Group 0 Group 5 1.371.97
Group 5 Group 4 0.70
Group 3 Group 4 2.50.26
Group 0 Group 4 1.10.64
Group 4 Group 3 01.27
Group 2 Group 2 00
Group 0 Group 2 0.170.53
Group 1 Group 1 0.950.97
Group 0 Group 0 1.130.03
10.237.35

Head-to-Head History of DAL @ WAS

Day Outcome DAL Played WAS Played
Monday, December 7, 2015 3 pt W DAL Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 28, 2014 27 pt W DAL Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 22, 2013 1 pt W DAL Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 30, 2012 10 pt W WAS Average Above Avg
Sunday, November 20, 2011 3 pt W DAL Average Below Avg
Sunday, September 12, 2010 6 pt W WAS Badly Well
Sunday, December 27, 2009 17 pt W DAL Ahead and Well Behind and Awful