The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots

Game will take place Sunday, December 6, 2015

Our model believes that the Patriots are most likely to win this game.

PHI Money Line

+320
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$320
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
23.8%

NE Money Line

-390
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$125.64
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
79.59%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PHI PlaysNE Plays PHI WsNE Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 07.12
Badly Ahead and Well 00.55
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.080
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.981.98
Average Below Avg 3.293.09
Above Avg Below Avg 0.440.44
Average Well 00.64
Badly Well 03.85
Behind but Well Well 0.690.69
Average Behind but Well 00.43
9.518.83

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PHI PlaysNE Plays PHI WsNE Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.090.29
Group 2 Group 5 2.182.26
Group 1 Group 5 00.82
Group 0 Group 5 0.690.4
Group 0 Group 4 0.190.19
Group 5 Group 4 0.430.43
Group 4 Group 3 03.77
Group 2 Group 1 0.020.66
Group 1 Group 1 01.67
Group 0 Group 0 1.420.91
5.0611.45

Head-to-Head History of PHI @ NE

Day Outcome PHI Played NE Played
Sunday, December 6, 2015 7 pt W PHI Average Below Avg