The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Arizona Cardinals @ Saint Louis Rams

Game will take place Sunday, December 6, 2015

Our model believes that the Cardinals are most likely to win this game.

ARI Money Line

-210
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$147.61
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
67.74%

STL Money Line

+175
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$175
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
36.36%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

ARI PlaysSTL Plays ARI WsSTL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.36
Badly Ahead and Well 01.19
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.370
Average Behind and Awful 0.61.18
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.340.34
Ahead and Well Below Avg 3.250
Average Below Avg 1.51.02
Above Avg Below Avg 0.890
Behind and Awful Well 01.59
Badly Well 02.69
12.9711.39

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

ARI PlaysSTL Plays ARI WsSTL Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.80
Group 2 Group 5 1.281.03
Group 0 Group 5 1.470.61
Group 5 Group 4 0.430
Group 3 Group 4 2.580
Group 1 Group 3 00.51
Group 4 Group 3 01.21
Group 2 Group 2 00.99
Group 1 Group 2 00.25
Group 2 Group 1 0.30.3
Group 1 Group 1 01.58
Group 5 Group 0 0.570
Group 0 Group 0 1.380.46
8.856.98

Head-to-Head History of ARI @ STL

Day Outcome ARI Played STL Played
Sunday, December 6, 2015 24 pt W ARI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Thursday, December 11, 2014 6 pt W ARI Ahead and Well Below Avg
Sunday, September 8, 2013 3 pt W STL Average Behind and Awful
Thursday, October 4, 2012 14 pt W STL Badly Well
Sunday, November 27, 2011 3 pt W ARI Average Below Avg
Sunday, September 12, 2010 4 pt W ARI Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 22, 2009 8 pt W ARI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful