The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings

Game will take place Sunday, December 6, 2015

Our model believes that the Vikings are most likely to win this game.

SEA Money Line

-130
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$176.92
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
56.52%

MIN Money Line

+110
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$110
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
47.61%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SEA PlaysMIN Plays SEA WsMIN Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.33
Badly Ahead and Well 00.84
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.330
Average Behind and Awful 0.460.97
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.620
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.280
Average Below Avg 1.862.44
Above Avg Below Avg 1.21.3
Badly Below Avg 00.56
Average Above Avg 0.50.88
Behind and Awful Well 01.57
Average Well 0.571.06
Badly Well 02.08
11.8615.07

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SEA PlaysMIN Plays SEA WsMIN Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.712.17
Group 0 Group 5 1.091.61
Group 5 Group 4 0.120
Group 3 Group 4 3.560
Group 4 Group 3 00.29
Group 2 Group 2 00
Group 4 Group 1 00.65
Group 2 Group 1 0.440.47
Group 1 Group 1 01.31
Group 0 Group 0 2.51.16
8.447.69

Head-to-Head History of SEA @ MIN

Day Outcome SEA Played MIN Played
Sunday, December 6, 2015 31 pt W SEA Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 22, 2009 26 pt W MIN Behind and Awful Ahead and Well