The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

Game will take place Sunday, December 6, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

JAC Money Line

+113
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$112.99
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
46.94%

TEN Money Line

-133
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$175.18
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
57.08%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

JAC PlaysTEN Plays JAC WsTEN Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.86
Badly Ahead and Well 00.7
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.930
Average Behind and Awful 0.40.43
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.310
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.130
Average Below Avg 2.432.91
Above Avg Below Avg 00
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.990.29
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.85
Average Above Avg 00.25
Behind and Awful Well 01.52
Average Well 00
Badly Well 02.21
9.2213.05

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

JAC PlaysTEN Plays JAC WsTEN Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.270
Group 4 Group 5 00.73
Group 2 Group 5 1.620.74
Group 0 Group 5 0.320.27
Group 3 Group 4 1.650
Group 0 Group 4 00
Group 4 Group 3 01.73
Group 4 Group 2 00.4
Group 2 Group 2 00.26
Group 1 Group 2 00.8
Group 1 Group 1 00.72
Group 0 Group 0 0.670.6
4.556.28

Head-to-Head History of JAC @ TEN

Day Outcome JAC Played TEN Played
Sunday, December 6, 2015 3 pt W TEN Badly Well
Sunday, October 12, 2014 2 pt W TEN Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 10, 2013 2 pt W JAC Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 30, 2012 18 pt W TEN Behind and Awful Above Avg
Saturday, December 24, 2011 6 pt W TEN Badly Well
Sunday, December 5, 2010 11 pt W JAC Ahead and Well Below Avg
Sunday, November 1, 2009 17 pt W TEN Behind and Awful Well