The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New York Jets @ New York Giants

Game will take place Sunday, December 6, 2015

Our model believes that the Giants are most likely to win this game.

NYJ Money Line

-137
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$172.99
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
57.8%

NYG Money Line

+117
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$117
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
46.08%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NYJ PlaysNYG Plays NYJ WsNYG Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02.73
Badly Ahead and Well 01.41
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.880
Average Behind and Awful 1.160.53
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.040
Average Below Avg 1.352.82
Above Avg Below Avg 00.59
Badly Below Avg 00.46
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.740
Behind and Awful Above Avg 01.01
Behind and Awful Well 01.12
Average Well 00.26
Badly Well 01.86
Behind but Well Well 0.360.37
8.5713.2

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NYJ PlaysNYG Plays NYJ WsNYG Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.10
Group 2 Group 5 1.730.84
Group 1 Group 5 00.71
Group 0 Group 5 0.670
Group 5 Group 4 0.310
Group 3 Group 4 1.150.3
Group 2 Group 3 00.3
Group 4 Group 3 02.19
Group 2 Group 2 1.030.6
Group 1 Group 2 0.271.13
Group 0 Group 2 00.25
Group 2 Group 1 00.63
Group 1 Group 1 01.53
Group 0 Group 0 0.810.63
6.119.16

Head-to-Head History of NYJ @ NYG

Day Outcome NYJ Played NYG Played
Sunday, December 6, 2015 3 pt W NYJ Behind but Well Below Avg