The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Seattle Seahawks

Game will take place Sunday, November 29, 2015

Our model believes that the Seahawks are most likely to win this game.

PIT Money Line

+160
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$160
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
38.46%

SEA Money Line

-185
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$154.05
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
64.91%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PIT PlaysSEA Plays PIT WsSEA Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.79
Badly Ahead and Well 00.41
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.870
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.620
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.540
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.95
Average Below Avg 3.343.04
Above Avg Below Avg 1.851.42
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.60
Average Above Avg 0.390.44
Behind and Awful Well 01.37
Average Well 0.871.14
Badly Well 03.17
11.0915.77

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PIT PlaysSEA Plays PIT WsSEA Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.962.9
Group 1 Group 5 0.610
Group 0 Group 5 1.071.06
Group 0 Group 4 0.670.59
Group 3 Group 4 0.90
Group 5 Group 4 0.010
Group 4 Group 3 02.28
Group 2 Group 1 01.03
Group 1 Group 1 02.65
Group 5 Group 0 0.280.28
Group 0 Group 0 1.431.45
5.9912.28

Head-to-Head History of PIT @ SEA

Day Outcome PIT Played SEA Played
Sunday, November 29, 2015 9 pt W SEA Average Below Avg