The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Arizona Cardinals @ San Fransisco 49ers

Game will take place Sunday, November 29, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

ARI Money Line

-500
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$120
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
83.33%

SF Money Line

+400
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$400
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
20%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

ARI PlaysSF Plays ARI WsSF Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.29
Badly Ahead and Well 01.29
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.850
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.630
Ahead and Well Below Avg 2.910
Average Below Avg 1.533.84
Above Avg Below Avg 0.660
Average Above Avg 0.910.69
Behind and Awful Well 01.96
Badly Well 03.32
Behind but Well Well 0.810
10.3314.4

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

ARI PlaysSF Plays ARI WsSF Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.942.05
Group 0 Group 5 1.561.17
Group 5 Group 4 0.220
Group 3 Group 4 1.890
Group 4 Group 3 01.12
Group 0 Group 2 00.51
Group 2 Group 2 00.95
Group 2 Group 1 0.730.34
Group 1 Group 1 01.72
Group 0 Group 0 0.60
6.967.9

Head-to-Head History of ARI @ SF

Day Outcome ARI Played SF Played
Sunday, November 29, 2015 6 pt W ARI Ahead and Well Below Avg
Sunday, December 28, 2014 3 pt W SF Average Below Avg
Sunday, October 13, 2013 12 pt W SF Badly Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 30, 2012 14 pt W SF Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, November 20, 2011 16 pt W SF Behind and Awful Well
Sunday, January 2, 2011 31 pt W SF Badly Ahead and Well
Monday, December 14, 2009 15 pt W SF Behind and Awful Well