The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Oakland Raiders @ Tennessee Titans

Game will take place Sunday, November 29, 2015

Our model believes that the Titans are most likely to win this game.

OAK Money Line

-110
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$190.9
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
52.38%

TEN Money Line

-110
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$190.9
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
52.38%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

OAK PlaysTEN Plays OAK WsTEN Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.27
Badly Ahead and Well 00.73
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.560
Average Behind and Awful 00.33
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.890
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.160
Average Below Avg 0.922.6
Above Avg Below Avg 0.330
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.120.33
Average Above Avg 00.32
Average Well 00
Badly Well 02.29
10.019.91

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

OAK PlaysTEN Plays OAK WsTEN Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.141.06
Group 0 Group 5 1.860.26
Group 5 Group 4 0.50
Group 3 Group 4 1.40
Group 0 Group 4 00
Group 4 Group 3 02.06
Group 2 Group 2 00.22
Group 1 Group 1 00.39
Group 0 Group 0 1.260.61
5.184.61

Head-to-Head History of OAK @ TEN

Day Outcome OAK Played TEN Played
Sunday, November 29, 2015 3 pt W OAK Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, September 12, 2010 25 pt W TEN Behind and Awful Ahead and Well