The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

San Diego Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Game will take place Sunday, November 29, 2015

Our model believes that the Chargers are most likely to win this game.

SD Money Line

+200
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$200
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
33.33%

JAC Money Line

-240
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$141.66
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
70.58%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SD PlaysJAC Plays SD WsJAC Ws
Badly Ahead and Well 00.81
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.920
Average Behind and Awful 00.43
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.810.39
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.640
Average Below Avg 1.452.51
Above Avg Below Avg 1.310
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.750
Average Above Avg 1.361.68
Badly Well 02.54
13.278.37

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SD PlaysJAC Plays SD WsJAC Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.161.67
Group 1 Group 5 00.22
Group 0 Group 5 1.450.79
Group 0 Group 4 0.050
Group 3 Group 4 2.240
Group 5 Group 4 0.840.31
Group 4 Group 3 00.67
Group 2 Group 2 00.45
Group 1 Group 1 0.371.56
Group 0 Group 0 1.40.02
7.525.73

Head-to-Head History of SD @ JAC

Day Outcome SD Played JAC Played
Sunday, November 29, 2015 6 pt W SD Above Avg Below Avg
Sunday, October 20, 2013 18 pt W SD Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Monday, December 5, 2011 24 pt W SD Ahead and Well Behind and Awful