The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New Orleans Saints @ Houston Texans

Game will take place Sunday, November 29, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

NO Money Line

+155
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$155
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
39.21%

HOU Money Line

-175
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$157.14
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
63.63%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NO PlaysHOU Plays NO WsHOU Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.31
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.860
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.890.43
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.530
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.66
Average Below Avg 1.952.41
Above Avg Below Avg 1.370.52
Badly Below Avg 00.99
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.820
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.57
Average Above Avg 00
Behind and Awful Well 00.62
Badly Well 02.96
11.4413.52

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NO PlaysHOU Plays NO WsHOU Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.221.34
Group 1 Group 5 00.78
Group 0 Group 5 0.830.92
Group 3 Group 4 1.840
Group 2 Group 3 00.41
Group 4 Group 3 02.58
Group 2 Group 2 0.050.78
Group 2 Group 1 00
Group 1 Group 1 01.01
Group 0 Group 0 0.770.36
3.738.21

Head-to-Head History of NO @ HOU

Day Outcome NO Played HOU Played
Sunday, November 29, 2015 18 pt W HOU Behind and Awful Ahead and Well