The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Saint Louis Rams @ Cincinnati Bengals

Game will take place Sunday, November 29, 2015

Our model believes that the Bengals are most likely to win this game.

STL Money Line

+335
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$335
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
22.98%

CIN Money Line

-425
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$123.52
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
80.95%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

STL PlaysCIN Plays STL WsCIN Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.77
Badly Ahead and Well 02.16
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.310
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.580.34
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.080
Average Below Avg 0.764.17
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.7
Average Above Avg 0.90.63
Behind and Awful Well 01.24
Badly Well 02.7
Behind but Well Well 0.460
6.1116.75

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

STL PlaysCIN Plays STL WsCIN Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.731.32
Group 0 Group 5 0.510.77
Group 3 Group 4 0.970
Group 4 Group 3 02.94
Group 2 Group 2 01.07
Group 2 Group 1 00.1
Group 1 Group 1 0.312.06
Group 5 Group 0 0.280
Group 0 Group 0 0.510.54
3.338.84

Head-to-Head History of STL @ CIN

Day Outcome STL Played CIN Played
Sunday, November 29, 2015 24 pt W CIN Badly Ahead and Well