The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

Game will take place Thursday, November 26, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CHI Money Line

+335
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$335
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
22.98%

GB Money Line

-400
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$125
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
80%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CHI PlaysGB Plays CHI WsGB Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.11
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.840
Average Below Avg 2.912.85
Above Avg Below Avg 1.020.89
Badly Below Avg 00.9
Average Above Avg 0.370.37
Behind and Awful Well 00.8
Badly Well 03.92
7.1615.86

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CHI PlaysGB Plays CHI WsGB Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.011.14
Group 0 Group 5 1.361.09
Group 0 Group 4 0.20
Group 4 Group 3 03.21
Group 2 Group 3 00.32
Group 2 Group 2 0.340.35
Group 1 Group 1 2.12.69
Group 3 Group 0 0.220
Group 0 Group 0 1.330.33
5.599.16

Head-to-Head History of CHI @ GB

Day Outcome CHI Played GB Played
Thursday, November 26, 2015 4 pt W CHI Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 9, 2014 41 pt W GB Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Monday, November 4, 2013 7 pt W CHI Above Avg Below Avg
Thursday, September 13, 2012 13 pt W GB Behind and Awful Well
Sunday, December 25, 2011 14 pt W GB Badly Well
Sunday, January 2, 2011 7 pt W GB Average Below Avg
Sunday, September 13, 2009 6 pt W GB Average Below Avg