The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Carolina Panthers @ Dallas Cowboys

Game will take place Thursday, November 26, 2015

Our model believes that the Panthers are most likely to win this game.

CAR Money Line

+110
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$110
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
47.61%

DAL Money Line

-120
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$183.33
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
54.54%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CAR PlaysDAL Plays CAR WsDAL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.7
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.170
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.640.37
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.960
Average Below Avg 2.873.05
Above Avg Below Avg 0.40.55
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.590
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.82
Average Above Avg 01.54
Badly Well 00.99
Behind but Well Well 0.830
12.4811.05

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CAR PlaysDAL Plays CAR WsDAL Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.910.64
Group 2 Group 5 1.761.72
Group 1 Group 5 0.680.69
Group 0 Group 5 1.150.88
Group 3 Group 4 2.950
Group 0 Group 4 0.340
Group 4 Group 3 01.49
Group 2 Group 2 00.32
Group 2 Group 1 00
Group 1 Group 1 00.86
Group 5 Group 0 00
Group 0 Group 0 0.960.88
8.767.52

Head-to-Head History of CAR @ DAL

Day Outcome CAR Played DAL Played
Thursday, November 26, 2015 19 pt W CAR Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Monday, September 28, 2009 14 pt W DAL Average Above Avg