The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Detroit Lions

Game will take place Thursday, November 26, 2015

Our model believes that the Eagles are most likely to win this game.

PHI Money Line

+120
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$120
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
45.45%

DET Money Line

-130
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$176.92
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
56.52%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PHI PlaysDET Plays PHI WsDET Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.5
Badly Ahead and Well 00.66
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.260
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.410.78
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.40
Average Below Avg 4.752.95
Above Avg Below Avg 0.790.48
Average Well 01.06
Badly Well 01.62
Behind but Well Well 1.540
14.1711.09

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PHI PlaysDET Plays PHI WsDET Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.210
Group 2 Group 5 2.272.86
Group 0 Group 5 1.551.2
Group 5 Group 4 0.210
Group 3 Group 4 1.560
Group 0 Group 4 1.150.36
Group 4 Group 3 02.16
Group 4 Group 1 00.41
Group 2 Group 1 00.26
Group 1 Group 1 00.9
Group 5 Group 0 0.010
Group 0 Group 0 0.990.65
88.84

Head-to-Head History of PHI @ DET

Day Outcome PHI Played DET Played
Thursday, November 26, 2015 31 pt W DET Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, September 19, 2010 3 pt W PHI Average Below Avg