The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

San Fransisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

Game will take place Sunday, November 22, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

SF Money Line

+700
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$700
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
12.5%

SEA Money Line

-1100
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$109.09
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
91.66%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SF PlaysSEA Plays SF WsSEA Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.65
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.590
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.70
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.450
Behind and Awful Below Avg 01.32
Average Below Avg 1.243.04
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.580
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.53
Average Above Avg 00.25
Behind and Awful Well 01.59
Average Well 00.53
Badly Well 01.35
Above Avg Behind but Well 00.39
7.5814.7

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SF PlaysSEA Plays SF WsSEA Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.32.11
Group 1 Group 5 00
Group 0 Group 5 00.95
Group 3 Group 4 1.890
Group 4 Group 3 03.15
Group 2 Group 3 00.45
Group 2 Group 2 00.48
Group 4 Group 2 00.01
Group 4 Group 1 00.4
Group 2 Group 1 0.31.03
Group 1 Group 1 01.16
Group 5 Group 0 0.110.11
Group 0 Group 0 2.132.37
5.7612.28

Head-to-Head History of SF @ SEA

Day Outcome SF Played SEA Played
Sunday, November 22, 2015 16 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 14, 2014 10 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Below Avg
Sunday, September 15, 2013 26 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 23, 2012 29 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Saturday, December 24, 2011 2 pt W SF Average Below Avg
Sunday, September 12, 2010 25 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 6, 2009 3 pt W SEA Average Above Avg