The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Arizona Cardinals

Game will take place Sunday, November 22, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CIN Money Line

+180
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$180
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
35.71%

ARI Money Line

-220
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$145.45
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
68.75%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CIN PlaysARI Plays CIN WsARI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02.71
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.250
Above Avg Behind and Awful 3.030
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.130
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.8
Average Below Avg 4.235.7
Above Avg Below Avg 0.80.53
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.30
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.87
Average Above Avg 0.660.66
Average Well 0.310.64
Badly Well 02.42
13.7414.36

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CIN PlaysARI Plays CIN WsARI Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.033.83
Group 0 Group 5 1.992.18
Group 5 Group 4 0.110
Group 3 Group 4 20
Group 4 Group 3 01.34
Group 2 Group 2 0.410.11
Group 1 Group 1 02
Group 0 Group 0 1.910.32
8.489.8

Head-to-Head History of CIN @ ARI

Day Outcome CIN Played ARI Played
Sunday, November 22, 2015 3 pt W ARI Average Below Avg