The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Saint Louis Rams @ Baltimore Ravens

Game will take place Sunday, November 22, 2015

Our model believes that the Ravens are most likely to win this game.

STL Money Line

+125
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$125
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
44.44%

BAL Money Line

-145
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$168.96
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
59.18%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

STL PlaysBAL Plays STL WsBAL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.3
Badly Ahead and Well 01.22
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.30
Average Behind and Awful 00.74
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.90.89
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.53
Average Below Avg 0.764.13
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.9
Average Above Avg 0.990.67
Behind and Awful Well 01.05
Badly Well 02.1
Behind but Well Well 0.980.32
Average Behind but Well 00.53
5.9518.43

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

STL PlaysBAL Plays STL WsBAL Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.952.25
Group 0 Group 5 0.371
Group 3 Group 4 1.130
Group 4 Group 3 02.29
Group 2 Group 3 00.02
Group 2 Group 2 00.81
Group 1 Group 1 0.382.54
Group 0 Group 0 0.941.45
3.7910.39

Head-to-Head History of STL @ BAL

Day Outcome STL Played BAL Played
Sunday, November 22, 2015 3 pt W BAL Average Behind and Awful