The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers

Game will take place Sunday, November 22, 2015

Our model believes that the Panthers are most likely to win this game.

WAS Money Line

+275
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$275
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
26.66%

CAR Money Line

-335
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$129.85
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
77.01%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

WAS PlaysCAR Plays WAS WsCAR Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.46
Badly Ahead and Well 00.73
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.670
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.30
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.520
Average Below Avg 2.483.63
Above Avg Below Avg 0.410.52
Badly Below Avg 00.59
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.94
Average Well 01.26
Badly Well 03.59
7.3915.76

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

WAS PlaysCAR Plays WAS WsCAR Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.251.82
Group 1 Group 5 00.49
Group 0 Group 5 1.310.47
Group 5 Group 4 0.430
Group 3 Group 4 0.520
Group 4 Group 3 02.84
Group 2 Group 2 0.20.67
Group 1 Group 1 02.73
Group 0 Group 0 0.010.95
2.7310.01

Head-to-Head History of WAS @ CAR

Day Outcome WAS Played CAR Played
Sunday, November 22, 2015 28 pt W CAR Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 23, 2011 13 pt W CAR Behind and Awful Above Avg
Sunday, October 11, 2009 3 pt W CAR Average Below Avg