The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

Game will take place Sunday, November 22, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

GB Money Line

+100
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$100
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
50%

MIN Money Line

-120
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$183.33
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
54.54%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

GB PlaysMIN Plays GB WsMIN Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02.07
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.10
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.540
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.80
Average Below Avg 2.462.33
Above Avg Below Avg 1.511.89
Badly Below Avg 00.41
Average Above Avg 00.57
Behind and Awful Well 02
Average Well 00.79
Badly Well 02.47
Behind but Well Well 1.320
12.7612.57

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

GB PlaysMIN Plays GB WsMIN Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.010
Group 2 Group 5 0.481.39
Group 0 Group 5 1.060.86
Group 5 Group 4 0.350
Group 3 Group 4 1.690
Group 1 Group 3 00.38
Group 4 Group 3 00.42
Group 2 Group 2 0.450
Group 5 Group 1 0.010
Group 2 Group 1 0.61.04
Group 1 Group 1 02.06
Group 0 Group 0 3.531.94
8.228.12

Head-to-Head History of GB @ MIN

Day Outcome GB Played MIN Played
Sunday, November 22, 2015 17 pt W GB Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 23, 2014 3 pt W GB Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, October 27, 2013 13 pt W GB Ahead and Well Below Avg
Sunday, December 30, 2012 3 pt W MIN Badly Well
Sunday, October 23, 2011 6 pt W GB Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 21, 2010 28 pt W GB Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Monday, October 5, 2009 7 pt W MIN Average Well