The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New York Jets @ Houston Texans

Game will take place Sunday, November 22, 2015

Our model believes that the Texans are most likely to win this game.

NYJ Money Line

-170
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$158.82
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
62.96%

HOU Money Line

+150
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$150
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
40%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NYJ PlaysHOU Plays NYJ WsHOU Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.33
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.640
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.030.22
Ahead and Well Below Avg 2.030
Average Below Avg 0.812.41
Above Avg Below Avg 00.3
Badly Below Avg 00.6
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.990
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.95
Average Above Avg 0.370
Behind and Awful Well 01.08
Average Well 00
Badly Well 02.57
9.8912.5

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NYJ PlaysHOU Plays NYJ WsHOU Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.31.74
Group 1 Group 5 01.24
Group 0 Group 5 0.810.62
Group 5 Group 4 0.540
Group 3 Group 4 1.310
Group 2 Group 3 00.21
Group 4 Group 3 02.41
Group 2 Group 2 0.971.19
Group 2 Group 1 00
Group 1 Group 1 01.56
Group 3 Group 0 0.10.1
Group 0 Group 0 0.870.31
5.939.42

Head-to-Head History of NYJ @ HOU

Day Outcome NYJ Played HOU Played
Sunday, November 22, 2015 7 pt W HOU Badly Well
Sunday, September 13, 2009 17 pt W NYJ Ahead and Well Below Avg