The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Game will take place Thursday, November 19, 2015

Our model believes that the Titans are most likely to win this game.

TEN Money Line

+130
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$130
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
43.47%

JAC Money Line

-140
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$171.42
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
58.33%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

TEN PlaysJAC Plays TEN WsJAC Ws
Badly Ahead and Well 00.35
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.370
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.360
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.47
Average Below Avg 2.343.31
Above Avg Below Avg 1.090
Badly Below Avg 00.84
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.750
Average Above Avg 0.461.83
Badly Well 02.34
11.419.16

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

TEN PlaysJAC Plays TEN WsJAC Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.581.67
Group 1 Group 5 00.02
Group 0 Group 5 1.830.83
Group 0 Group 4 0.090
Group 3 Group 4 2.270
Group 5 Group 4 0.820.3
Group 4 Group 3 01.84
Group 2 Group 2 01.19
Group 1 Group 1 0.661.02
Group 0 Group 0 0.90.02
7.186.92

Head-to-Head History of TEN @ JAC

Day Outcome TEN Played JAC Played
Thursday, November 19, 2015 6 pt W JAC Average Below Avg
Thursday, December 18, 2014 8 pt W JAC Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 22, 2013 4 pt W TEN Behind but Well Below Avg
Sunday, November 25, 2012 5 pt W JAC Badly Below Avg
Sunday, September 11, 2011 2 pt W JAC Badly Well
Monday, October 18, 2010 27 pt W TEN Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, October 4, 2009 20 pt W JAC Badly Ahead and Well