The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the Seahawks are most likely to win this game.

ARI Money Line

+135
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$135
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
42.55%

SEA Money Line

-145
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$168.96
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
59.18%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

ARI PlaysSEA Plays ARI WsSEA Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.36
Badly Ahead and Well 00.83
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.40
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.640
Ahead and Well Below Avg 2.230
Average Below Avg 1.613.3
Above Avg Below Avg 2.031.04
Average Above Avg 0.790.45
Behind and Awful Well 02.19
Badly Well 02.5
Average Behind but Well 00.71
9.7215.42

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

ARI PlaysSEA Plays ARI WsSEA Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.212.59
Group 0 Group 5 1.251.87
Group 5 Group 4 0.010
Group 3 Group 4 1.960
Group 4 Group 3 02.31
Group 2 Group 2 00.73
Group 4 Group 2 00.35
Group 2 Group 1 0.940.94
Group 1 Group 1 01.89
Group 5 Group 0 0.570.57
Group 0 Group 0 0.831
7.7912.28

Head-to-Head History of ARI @ SEA

Day Outcome ARI Played SEA Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 7 pt W ARI Above Avg Below Avg
Sunday, November 23, 2014 16 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Well
Sunday, December 22, 2013 7 pt W ARI Average Above Avg
Sunday, December 9, 2012 58 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, September 25, 2011 3 pt W SEA Average Below Avg
Sunday, October 24, 2010 12 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Well
Sunday, October 18, 2009 24 pt W ARI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful