The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New England Patriots @ New York Giants

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

NE Money Line

-340
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$129.41
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
77.27%

NYG Money Line

+310
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$310
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
24.39%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NE PlaysNYG Plays NE WsNYG Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 01.52
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.310
Average Behind and Awful 1.750.8
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.130
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.4
Average Below Avg 3.73
Above Avg Below Avg 1.040.89
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.960
Behind and Awful Well 00.63
Badly Well 01.21
13.938.49

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NE PlaysNYG Plays NE WsNYG Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.10
Group 2 Group 5 2.320.72
Group 1 Group 5 00.22
Group 0 Group 5 0.740
Group 5 Group 4 1.080
Group 3 Group 4 1.390.37
Group 4 Group 3 01.06
Group 1 Group 2 00.34
Group 0 Group 2 0.210.21
Group 1 Group 1 00.83
Group 4 Group 0 00.33
Group 0 Group 0 2.271.14
8.155.27

Head-to-Head History of NE @ NYG

Day Outcome NE Played NYG Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 1 pt W NE Average Below Avg