The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Minnesota Vikings @ Oakland Raiders

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the Vikings are most likely to win this game.

MIN Money Line

+137
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$137
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
42.19%

OAK Money Line

-147
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$168.02
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
59.51%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

MIN PlaysOAK Plays MIN WsOAK Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 01.14
Badly Ahead and Well 01.12
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 6.030
Average Behind and Awful 0.660.32
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.350
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.73
Average Below Avg 2.32.92
Average Above Avg 00
Badly Above Avg 00.77
Behind and Awful Well 00.5
Badly Well 02.59
Behind and Awful Behind but Well 00.38
10.3610.52

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

MIN PlaysOAK Plays MIN WsOAK Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.120.43
Group 0 Group 5 0.90.02
Group 5 Group 4 1.130
Group 3 Group 4 2.070
Group 0 Group 4 0.220.22
Group 4 Group 3 01.47
Group 2 Group 2 00.4
Group 1 Group 2 00.36
Group 1 Group 1 01.68
Group 3 Group 0 0.830
Group 0 Group 0 1.030.01
6.344.63

Head-to-Head History of MIN @ OAK

Day Outcome MIN Played OAK Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 16 pt W MIN Ahead and Well Behind and Awful