The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the Steelers are most likely to win this game.

CLE Money Line

+240
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$240
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
29.41%

PIT Money Line

-260
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$138.46
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
72.22%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CLE PlaysPIT Plays CLE WsPIT Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.08
Badly Ahead and Well 00.86
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 0.720
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.870
Behind and Awful Below Avg 01.16
Average Below Avg 1.472.99
Above Avg Below Avg 0.440
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.370
Behind and Awful Above Avg 01.13
Behind and Awful Well 00.88
Average Well 01.67
Badly Well 01.95
Behind but Well Well 0.860.27
5.7517.04

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CLE PlaysPIT Plays CLE WsPIT Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.71.23
Group 1 Group 5 00.61
Group 0 Group 5 10.23
Group 3 Group 4 0.670
Group 2 Group 3 01.3
Group 4 Group 3 01.2
Group 2 Group 2 0.712.34
Group 2 Group 1 00.02
Group 1 Group 1 02.5
Group 0 Group 0 0.280
3.379.46

Head-to-Head History of CLE @ PIT

Day Outcome CLE Played PIT Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 21 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, September 7, 2014 3 pt W PIT Average Well
Sunday, December 29, 2013 13 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Well
Sunday, December 30, 2012 14 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Above Avg
Thursday, December 8, 2011 11 pt W PIT Badly Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 17, 2010 18 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 18, 2009 13 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Well