The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the Ravens are most likely to win this game.

JAC Money Line

+190
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$190
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
34.48%

BAL Money Line

-210
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$147.61
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
67.74%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

JAC PlaysBAL Plays JAC WsBAL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.04
Badly Ahead and Well 00.73
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 0.680
Average Behind and Awful 0.450.71
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.370.84
Average Below Avg 2.063.41
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.050.56
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.7
Average Above Avg 00.61
Behind and Awful Well 01.73
Average Well 00.67
Badly Well 02.48
5.6318.53

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

JAC PlaysBAL Plays JAC WsBAL Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.061.69
Group 0 Group 5 0.120.92
Group 3 Group 4 0.440
Group 4 Group 3 02.62
Group 2 Group 3 00.01
Group 2 Group 2 01.03
Group 1 Group 1 02.59
Group 0 Group 0 1.361.4
410.29

Head-to-Head History of JAC @ BAL

Day Outcome JAC Played BAL Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 2 pt W JAC Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 14, 2014 8 pt W BAL Above Avg Behind and Awful