The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Miami Dolphins @ Philadelphia Eagles

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

MIA Money Line

+230
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$229.99
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
30.3%

PHI Money Line

-250
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$140
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
71.42%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

MIA PlaysPHI Plays MIA WsPHI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.98
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.550
Average Behind and Awful 0.380.48
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.680
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.750
Average Below Avg 3.061.53
Above Avg Below Avg 1.090.22
Behind and Awful Above Avg 01
Average Above Avg 00.46
Behind and Awful Well 01.25
Badly Well 01.76
Behind but Well Well 0.50
Average Behind but Well 00.5
Above Avg Behind but Well 00.79
11.0312.01

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

MIA PlaysPHI Plays MIA WsPHI Ws
Group 5 Group 5 00.01
Group 2 Group 5 0.271.36
Group 0 Group 5 0.680
Group 5 Group 4 1.020
Group 3 Group 4 1.370
Group 4 Group 3 02.65
Group 2 Group 2 1.230.01
Group 0 Group 2 0.430.43
Group 1 Group 1 0.351.49
Group 0 Group 0 0.430.03
5.816.01

Head-to-Head History of MIA @ PHI

Day Outcome MIA Played PHI Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 1 pt W MIA Average Below Avg