The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Chicago Bears @ Saint Louis Rams

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CHI Money Line

+250
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$250
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
28.57%

STL Money Line

-270
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$137.03
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
72.97%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CHI PlaysSTL Plays CHI WsSTL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.27
Badly Ahead and Well 00.8
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.940
Average Behind and Awful 0.310.7
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.560.4
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.590
Average Below Avg 2.231
Above Avg Below Avg 0.990
Badly Below Avg 00.8
Behind and Awful Well 00.79
Badly Well 01.77
12.6510.56

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CHI PlaysSTL Plays CHI WsSTL Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.630
Group 2 Group 5 0.010.68
Group 0 Group 5 1.090.56
Group 5 Group 4 0.940
Group 3 Group 4 2.040
Group 1 Group 3 00.45
Group 4 Group 3 01.67
Group 2 Group 2 0.590.61
Group 1 Group 2 00.22
Group 1 Group 1 1.31.67
Group 0 Group 0 1.730.62
8.386.51

Head-to-Head History of CHI @ STL

Day Outcome CHI Played STL Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 24 pt W CHI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 24, 2013 21 pt W STL Badly Ahead and Well