The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Carolina Panthers @ Tennessee Titans

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the Panthers are most likely to win this game.

CAR Money Line

-200
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$150
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
66.66%

TEN Money Line

+175
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$175
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
36.36%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CAR PlaysTEN Plays CAR WsTEN Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02.33
Badly Ahead and Well 00.38
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 6.140
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.520
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.290
Average Below Avg 2.463.38
Above Avg Below Avg 0.40
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.110.33
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.95
Average Above Avg 00.35
Behind and Awful Well 00.36
Badly Well 01.19
Behind but Well Well 0.790
13.749.3

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CAR PlaysTEN Plays CAR WsTEN Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.460
Group 2 Group 5 1.570.86
Group 0 Group 5 1.910.36
Group 3 Group 4 3.50
Group 0 Group 4 0.340
Group 4 Group 3 00.99
Group 2 Group 2 00.17
Group 1 Group 2 0.620.62
Group 1 Group 1 00.2
Group 0 Group 0 0.810.58
9.233.82

Head-to-Head History of CAR @ TEN

Day Outcome CAR Played TEN Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 17 pt W CAR Ahead and Well Behind and Awful