The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers

Game will take place Sunday, November 15, 2015

Our model believes that the Packers are most likely to win this game.

DET Money Line

+445
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$445
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
18.34%

GB Money Line

-515
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$119.41
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
83.73%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

DET PlaysGB Plays DET WsGB Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.05
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.350
Average Below Avg 3.412.63
Above Avg Below Avg 10.47
Badly Below Avg 00.65
Behind and Awful Well 00.95
Badly Well 0.476.12
Average Behind but Well 00.71
6.2516.6

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

DET PlaysGB Plays DET WsGB Ws
Group 4 Group 5 00.4
Group 2 Group 5 0.361.54
Group 1 Group 5 0.110.12
Group 0 Group 5 1.670.92
Group 2 Group 3 00.01
Group 4 Group 3 03.09
Group 2 Group 2 0.140.42
Group 0 Group 2 0.810.47
Group 1 Group 1 03.48
Group 0 Group 0 0.50.21
3.6110.7

Head-to-Head History of DET @ GB

Day Outcome DET Played GB Played
Sunday, November 15, 2015 2 pt W DET Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 28, 2014 10 pt W GB Badly Well
Sunday, October 6, 2013 13 pt W GB Badly Well
Sunday, December 9, 2012 7 pt W GB Average Below Avg
Sunday, January 1, 2012 4 pt W GB Badly Below Avg
Sunday, October 3, 2010 2 pt W GB Badly Well
Sunday, October 18, 2009 26 pt W GB Behind and Awful Ahead and Well