The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Chicago Bears @ San Diego Chargers

Game will take place Monday, November 9, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CHI Money Line

+180
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$180
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
35.71%

SD Money Line

-220
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$145.45
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
68.75%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CHI PlaysSD Plays CHI WsSD Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.38
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.180
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.310
Average Below Avg 2.613.18
Above Avg Below Avg 0.980
Badly Below Avg 00.89
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.80
Average Above Avg 0.370.37
Badly Above Avg 00.46
Behind and Awful Well 00.61
Average Well 00.67
Badly Well 01.12
Behind but Well Well 1.720
11.9912.72

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CHI PlaysSD Plays CHI WsSD Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.021.53
Group 0 Group 5 1.10
Group 5 Group 4 0.610
Group 3 Group 4 2.650
Group 4 Group 3 01.54
Group 4 Group 2 00.56
Group 2 Group 2 0.80.68
Group 1 Group 1 1.250.66
Group 0 Group 0 1.171.02
7.636

Head-to-Head History of CHI @ SD

Day Outcome CHI Played SD Played
Monday, November 9, 2015 3 pt W CHI Behind but Well Well