The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys

Game will take place Sunday, November 8, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

PHI Money Line

-155
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$164.51
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
60.78%

DAL Money Line

+135
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$135
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
42.55%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PHI PlaysDAL Plays PHI WsDAL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.02
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.30
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.960.68
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.710
Average Below Avg 4.853.28
Above Avg Below Avg 0.550.27
Badly Well 02.2
Behind but Well Well 1.070
14.4610.47

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PHI PlaysDAL Plays PHI WsDAL Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.320.7
Group 2 Group 5 2.461.91
Group 1 Group 5 00.44
Group 0 Group 5 0.750.59
Group 0 Group 4 0.20
Group 3 Group 4 2.220
Group 5 Group 4 0.760
Group 4 Group 3 02.07
Group 1 Group 3 00.12
Group 2 Group 1 0.010
Group 1 Group 1 01.4
Group 5 Group 0 0.270
Group 0 Group 0 1.270.77
8.38.04

Head-to-Head History of PHI @ DAL

Day Outcome PHI Played DAL Played
Sunday, November 8, 2015 6 pt W PHI Average Below Avg
Thursday, November 27, 2014 23 pt W PHI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 29, 2013 2 pt W PHI Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 2, 2012 5 pt W DAL Average Below Avg
Saturday, December 24, 2011 13 pt W PHI Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 12, 2010 3 pt W PHI Average Below Avg
Sunday, January 3, 2010 24 pt W DAL Behind and Awful Ahead and Well