The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New York Giants @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Game will take place Sunday, November 8, 2015

Our model believes that the Giants are most likely to win this game.

NYG Money Line

-135
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$174.07
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
57.44%

TB Money Line

+115
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$115
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
46.51%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NYG PlaysTB Plays NYG WsTB Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.78
Badly Ahead and Well 00.41
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.120
Average Behind and Awful 1.390.8
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.880
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.030
Average Below Avg 2.230.92
Above Avg Below Avg 0.70.82
Badly Below Avg 01.23
Badly Well 01.32
13.379.31

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NYG PlaysTB Plays NYG WsTB Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.860.97
Group 0 Group 5 1.10.13
Group 3 Group 4 2.150.01
Group 0 Group 4 0.930
Group 4 Group 3 01.77
Group 2 Group 2 0.480.4
Group 2 Group 1 00
Group 1 Group 1 01.07
Group 0 Group 0 2.230.18
7.784.56

Head-to-Head History of NYG @ TB

Day Outcome NYG Played TB Played
Sunday, November 8, 2015 14 pt W NYG Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, September 27, 2009 24 pt W NYG Ahead and Well Behind and Awful