The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Game will take place Sunday, November 8, 2015

Our model believes that the Steelers are most likely to win this game.

OAK Money Line

+195
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$195
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
33.89%

PIT Money Line

-235
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$142.55
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
70.14%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

OAK PlaysPIT Plays OAK WsPIT Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.06
Badly Ahead and Well 01.19
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.050
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.350
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.820
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.85
Average Below Avg 0.772.13
Above Avg Below Avg 0.350
Badly Below Avg 01.29
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.390
Average Above Avg 00.67
Badly Above Avg 00.76
Average Well 01.51
Badly Well 01.96
6.7616.46

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

OAK PlaysPIT Plays OAK WsPIT Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.151.57
Group 1 Group 5 0.011.01
Group 0 Group 5 1.330.19
Group 3 Group 4 0.630
Group 4 Group 3 02.94
Group 2 Group 2 01.93
Group 2 Group 1 00.1
Group 1 Group 1 01.26
Group 0 Group 0 1.120
3.269.03

Head-to-Head History of OAK @ PIT

Day Outcome OAK Played PIT Played
Sunday, November 8, 2015 3 pt W PIT Badly Below Avg
Sunday, November 21, 2010 32 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 6, 2009 3 pt W OAK Behind but Well Below Avg