The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets

Game will take place Sunday, November 8, 2015

Our model believes that the Jets are most likely to win this game.

JAC Money Line

+290
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$290
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
25.64%

NYJ Money Line

-350
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$128.57
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
77.77%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

JAC PlaysNYJ Plays JAC WsNYJ Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.84
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.890
Average Behind and Awful 0.360.46
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.090.37
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.070
Average Below Avg 2.042.43
Above Avg Below Avg 00.32
Badly Below Avg 00.88
Average Above Avg 00
Behind and Awful Well 01.71
Average Well 00
Badly Well 03.38
6.4814.43

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

JAC PlaysNYJ Plays JAC WsNYJ Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.441.39
Group 0 Group 5 0.31.42
Group 3 Group 4 0.790
Group 0 Group 4 00
Group 2 Group 3 00.09
Group 4 Group 3 02.15
Group 2 Group 2 01.32
Group 0 Group 2 00.01
Group 2 Group 1 00
Group 1 Group 1 02.13
Group 0 Group 0 1.010.16
3.568.7

Head-to-Head History of JAC @ NYJ

Day Outcome JAC Played NYJ Played
Sunday, November 8, 2015 5 pt W NYJ Badly Well
Sunday, September 18, 2011 29 pt W NYJ Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, November 15, 2009 2 pt W JAC Average Behind and Awful