The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Tennessee Titans @ New Orleans Saints

Game will take place Sunday, November 8, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

TEN Money Line

+310
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$310
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
24.39%

NO Money Line

-370
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$127.02
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
78.72%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

TEN PlaysNO Plays TEN WsNO Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.14
Badly Ahead and Well 00.62
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.610
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.80
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.48
Average Below Avg 2.433.06
Above Avg Below Avg 0.90.4
Badly Below Avg 00.86
Behind and Awful Well 00.84
Badly Well 01.97
Behind but Well Well 1.040
7.814.41

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

TEN PlaysNO Plays TEN WsNO Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.410.83
Group 1 Group 5 00.38
Group 0 Group 5 1.481.31
Group 3 Group 4 1.10.23
Group 0 Group 4 0.270
Group 4 Group 3 02.78
Group 4 Group 2 00.55
Group 2 Group 2 01.31
Group 1 Group 1 1.010.94
Group 0 Group 0 0.690.13
4.998.49

Head-to-Head History of TEN @ NO

Day Outcome TEN Played NO Played
Sunday, November 8, 2015 6 pt W TEN Behind but Well Well