The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Washington Redskins @ New England Patriots

Game will take place Sunday, November 8, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

WAS PlaysNE Plays WAS WsNE Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 08.13
Badly Ahead and Well 00.84
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 20
Average Behind and Awful 01.05
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.391.03
Average Below Avg 1.692.64
Above Avg Below Avg 0.270.88
Badly Below Avg 00.96
Average Well 01.37
Badly Well 03.19
4.3620.12

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

WAS PlaysNE Plays WAS WsNE Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.231.54
Group 1 Group 5 00.98
Group 0 Group 5 0.650.28
Group 5 Group 4 0.540.54
Group 4 Group 3 04.49
Group 0 Group 2 0.260.26
Group 1 Group 2 00.41
Group 2 Group 2 0.20.86
Group 5 Group 2 00
Group 1 Group 1 01.65
Group 0 Group 0 0.011.45
1.9112.51

Head-to-Head History of WAS @ NE

Day Outcome WAS Played NE Played
Sunday, November 8, 2015 17 pt W NE Behind and Awful Ahead and Well