The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Saint Louis Rams @ Minnesota Vikings

Game will take place Sunday, November 8, 2015

Our model believes that the Vikings are most likely to win this game.

STL Money Line

+105
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$105
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
48.78%

MIN Money Line

-125
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$180
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
55.55%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

STL PlaysMIN Plays STL WsMIN Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.67
Badly Ahead and Well 01.67
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.560
Average Behind and Awful 00.98
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.920
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.670
Average Below Avg 0.722.7
Above Avg Below Avg 1.471
Average Above Avg 0.670.67
Behind and Awful Well 01.87
Badly Well 02.64
Behind but Well Well 0.630
8.6715.23

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

STL PlaysMIN Plays STL WsMIN Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.682.99
Group 0 Group 5 0.591.21
Group 3 Group 4 1.980
Group 4 Group 3 01.41
Group 2 Group 2 00
Group 2 Group 1 00.32
Group 1 Group 1 0.352.88
Group 0 Group 0 1.111.45
4.7310.28

Head-to-Head History of STL @ MIN

Day Outcome STL Played MIN Played
Sunday, November 8, 2015 3 pt W MIN Average Below Avg