The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys

Game will take place Sunday, November 1, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

SEA Money Line

-255
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$139.21
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
71.83%

DAL Money Line

+215
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$215
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
31.74%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SEA PlaysDAL Plays SEA WsDAL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.13
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.340
Average Behind and Awful 0.30
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.850.42
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.450
Average Below Avg 2.72.87
Above Avg Below Avg 0.630.5
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.69
Average Above Avg 0.821.44
Badly Above Avg 00.48
Badly Well 01.05
12.1411.64

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SEA PlaysDAL Plays SEA WsDAL Ws
Group 2 Group 5 11.61
Group 1 Group 5 01.41
Group 0 Group 5 0.880.82
Group 5 Group 4 0.650
Group 3 Group 4 3.390
Group 0 Group 4 0.350
Group 4 Group 3 00.78
Group 5 Group 2 0.740
Group 4 Group 2 00.02
Group 2 Group 2 00.1
Group 2 Group 1 0.420
Group 1 Group 1 00.65
Group 0 Group 0 0.980.59
8.456.03

Head-to-Head History of SEA @ DAL

Day Outcome SEA Played DAL Played
Sunday, November 1, 2015 1 pt W SEA Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 6, 2011 10 pt W DAL Behind and Awful Above Avg
Sunday, November 1, 2009 21 pt W DAL Behind and Awful Ahead and Well